It appears that Trump activist Ryan Fournier got caught faking swing states poll data! Take a look at what happened, and how he got exposed!
Claim : New swing states poll data show Trump winning!
Just two days before the 2024 US Presidential election, Trump activist Ryan Fournier claimed that recent polls sent to him show that former President Donald Trump was going to win the election.
Ryan Fournier : I just got some recent polls sent to me. Holy sh*t. We are going to win this.
People do not want Kamala Harris. This is incredible.
He then posted a screenshot of the email he received from the pollster, with the name of the alleged pollster redacted.
Ryan Fournier : The pollster made a mistake and ended up having to resend his email to me. We will win this.
The email that Ryan Fournier allegedly received from a pollster showed former Donald Trump winning all seven swing states:
Update on Political Polling – Nov 3, 2024
Sorry for that error. I appreciate your patience.
Hope you are well brother!
GEORGIA: Trump +3.1
IOWA: Trump +3.0
PENNSYLVANIA: Trump +2.8
ARIZONA: Trump +1.8
NORTH CAROLINA: Trump +0.9
MICHIGAN: Trump +0.9
WISCONSIN: Harris +1.8
While the numbers are still within the margin of error, they do show former President Donald Trump leading in Georgia, Iowa and the “must-win” state of Pennsylvania.
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Awkward : Trump activist caught faking swing states poll data!
That post might have gotten the usual cheers from Trump supporters, and jeers from Harris supporters, if some pesky fact checkers did not adjust the exposure of his screenshot, and expose the fakery!
It now appears that Ryan Fournier made up polling results in swing states, and sent them to himself, while claiming to have received them from a pollster!
Right after Fournier posted the screenshot which he allegedly received from a pollster, many people (here, here, here, here) looked into the email and quickly discovered that it was faked.
I examined the screenshot that Ryan Fournier posted (left), and adjusted the Exposure (+4.01) and Gamma Correction (6.94), and lo behold – Ryan Fournier’s name appears as the sender (right)! The adjustment also showed that the email was signed by Ryan Fournier!
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After being exposed, Ryan Fournier quickly deleted his post on X, but as they say – the Internet never forgets, because I managed to archive his post in time, as evidence and for posterity.
Fournier then claimed he took a screenshot of the email, and used a marking tool to redact the pollster’s name.
Ryan Fournier : I took a screenshot of the email and I used the marking tool to leave out his name.
The problem with that claim was – the redacted names were his own – Ryan Fournier. As exposure adjustments by multiple people have shown, Fournier did not redact the name of any pollster – he redacted his own name.
He then claimed that his name only appeared in the “To” field of the email:
Ryan Fournier : Yes, my name was there because of the email app that I choose to use. It wasn’t that I sent the email. It’s just the To field.
It’s great that Fournier confirmed that it was his name in the To: field, because frankly, the last name could not be seen even after adjusting the exposure.
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However, it does not explain why he redacted his own name. After all, it is expected that his name would be in the To: field, since he was the recipient!
It also does not explain why his name would be in the sender field, or why the email appears to be “signed” by Ryan Fournier at the bottom, just above the legal disclaimer.
This is a developing story, and I will add updates as and when Ryan Fournier offers more details on this mysterious email from the mystery pollster.
Update: Ryan Fournier appears to be blocking people who fact checked him, so it is possible that I would soon be blocked as well, and lose access to his posts.
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Dr. Adrian Wong has been writing about tech and science since 1997, even publishing a book with Prentice Hall called Breaking Through The BIOS Barrier (ISBN 978-0131455368) while in medical school.
He continues to devote countless hours every day writing about tech, medicine and science, in his pursuit of facts in a post-truth world.
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