Did PHAC confirm higher mortality in boosted Canadians?!

Did Public Health Agency of Canada just confirm that boosted people have higher mortality (death rates) compared to the unvaccinated?! Take a look at the viral claim, and find out what the facts really are!

 

Claim : PHAC confirms higher mortality in boosted Canadians!

People are sharing a Rebel News article (archive) which claimed that Public Health Agency of Canada just confirmed that boosted Canadians have higher mortality (death rates) compared to the unvaccinated!

Here is an excerpt of that article. Please skip to the next section for the facts!

Public Health Agency confirms higher death rates among boosted Canadians compared to the unvaccinated

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Truth : PHAC did not confirm higher mortality in boosted Canadians!

Let’s take a look at what the PHAC actually said, and show you why this is really just misinformation about the COVID-19 vaccines:

PHAC did not confirm higher mortality in boosted Canadians

Let me start by pointing out that the Public Health Agency of Canada (PHAC) did not confirm that boosted Canadians have a higher mortality (death rate) than unvaccinated Canadians.

If you read the official PHAC response to MP Cathay Wagantall’s questions, you will see that PHAC specifically pointed out that unvaccinated Canadians were 8x more likely to die than boosted Canadians.

Those unvaccinated were 8 times more likely to die than those with a completed primary vaccine series and 1 or more additional doses.

Data for that time period is not comparable

I should also point out that the time period in question – June 10 to August 28, 2022, is not directly comparable, because there was a change of definitions and vaccination statuses. That change also resulted in gaps of data from June 28 to July 4, and July 19 to July 24.

To make it easier to visualise, I summarised the data (which again, isn’t directly comparable) in this table:

Vaccination Status Crude weekly deaths (average)
June 13 –
July 27
July 4 –
July 18
July 25 –
August 29
Unvaccinated 23.3 13 28.7
Not yet protected 1
Partially vaccinated 8.3
Fully vaccinated 73.3 23.5 7
1 additional dose 144 63 109.3
2 additional doses 20 46.3

As you can see, PHAC transitioned through two different sets of definitions during that time period.

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50% of Canadians had 1 booster dose at that time

Much has been made of this PHAC reply – “Across all weeks in the time period of interest, the number of deaths were highest among those with a primary series and 1 additional dose.

However, PHAC immediately cautioned against jumping to conclusions, because the crude weekly death numbers do not account for the number of people in each vaccination category.

In fact, people who received 1 additional (booster) dose of the vaccine represented HALF (50%) of the population. So it would not be surprising to see this category show the highest crude death rate.

PHAC also pointed out that even though the “crude number of deaths” was highest in the group with 1 additional dose of the vaccine, the “rate of death” (mortality rate) was “low” compared to the unvaccinated group!

[A]lthough the crude number of deaths are highest among this group, the rate of deaths among those with a primary series and 1 additional dose are low in comparison to those who are unvaccinated.

Finally, PHAC pointed out that the “unvaccinated were 8 times more likely to die” than vaccinated Canadians who received a booster dose.

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Booster dose prioritised for people with severe disease

PHAC also pointed out that both testing and the vaccines were prioritised for people who were at risk of getting severe COVID-19 disease – the elderly, people with pre-existing medical conditions, immunocompromised patients, etc.

Not only are these people more likely to die, they are also more likely to suffer more severe consequences of any COVID-19 infection. So there is a risk of data bias, leading people to conclude that their vaccinations were leading to their deaths.

Imagine if data showed that the same group of vaccinated people with 1 booster dose had the highest rate of deaths from car accidents, or pregnancies, does that mean that the COVID-19 vaccines are causing car accidents, or getting them pregnant?

In fact, PHAC specifically pointed out that vaccinated people are less likely to get sick or die, compared to unvaccinated people!

[D]espite their higher case counts, vaccinated people are less likely to get very sick or die than those unvaccinated for COVID19.

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Unvaccinated more likely to die than vaccinated people

PHAC’s assertion that unvaccinated people are more likely to get sick or die is backed by actual data.

Public Health Ontario, for example, provided public data (PDF) which clearly show that unvaccinated people are far more likely to be hospitalised, or die, from COVID-19.

Unlike the crude mortality numbers shared in the reply to MP Cathay Wagantall, these two charts show the rate of hospitalisation (above) and death (below) per 100,000 person-days.

These two charts also clearly show that the COVID-19 vaccines are not only safe, they are effective at preventing death and hospitalisation from COVID-19 infections.

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Dr. Adrian Wong has been writing about tech and science since 1997, even publishing a book with Prentice Hall called Breaking Through The BIOS Barrier (ISBN 978-0131455368) while in medical school.

He continues to devote countless hours every day writing about tech, medicine and science, in his pursuit of facts in a post-truth world.

 

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