Did a new German study show that the COVID-19 vaccine has no beneficial effect, while massively increasing excess deaths?! Take a look at the viral claims, and find out what the facts really are!
Claim : German Study Finds COVID Vaccine Caused Excess Deaths!
People are sharing a study (archive) by Kuhbandner and Reitzner, claiming that it shows that the COVID-19 vaccine has no beneficial effect, while massively increasing excess deaths!
Here is an excerpt of the article. Feel free to skip to the next section for the facts!
The People’s Voice : German Study Finds Covid Vaccine Has ‘No Beneficial Effects’ While Massively Increasing Excess Deaths
A bombshell new study from Germany has revealed that the Covid-19 mRNA vaccines have produced “no beneficial effects” at the community level, while finding that “the more vaccinations were administered in a federal state, the greater the increase in excess mortality.”
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Truth : German Study Did Not Show COVID Vaccine Caused Excess Deaths!
Let’s take a look at the controversial study of excess deaths in Germany, and find out why it does not show that the COVID vaccine was the cause!
Fact #1 : It’s A Preprint That Has Not Been Peer-Reviewed
Let me start by pointing out that paper by Kuhbandner and Reitzner is a preprint that has not even been peer-reviewed. While a lack of peer review does not necessarily mean the data or study is irrelevant, it does mean that we should take it with a pinch of salt, because it hasn’t even undergone basic review by another member of the scientific community.
Even peer review is just the first step in the scientific review process, as the people reviewing such papers are not infallible. The lack of a rigorous peer review is arguably why even peer-reviewed and published papers get retracted, like what happened in February and June this year at Cureus.
Fact #2 : 93% Of Excess Deaths Were Elderly People
It is true that there was a noticeable increase in excess deaths in Germany, during the COVID-19 pandemic years of 2020 to 2022. The ifo Institute issued a press release about this in January 2023.
The study attempts to show correlation between COVID-19 vaccination and excess deaths, by showing that excess deaths increased in 2022, even though reported COVID-19 deaths dropped in 2022.
What it did not show you was a breakdown in age. As the ifo Institute table below shows, 93% of the excess deaths were seen in the elderly – people who were 60 years and older. Those who were 80 years and older, in particular, suffered greatly.
In the 80+ age group alone, 116,000 more people died than expected; in the 60–79 age group, the figure was 51,000. In the large age group of 30–59, on the other hand, there were only 12,000 additional deaths, and only about 900 among those aged 0–29.
Obviously, there are many reasons why the elderly are dying at a higher than expected rate during the COVID-19 pandemic. Chief amongst them – COVID-19 infections, and their long-lasting effects in some cases.
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Fact #3 : 30-59 Year-Old Excess Deaths Decreased In 2022
Interestingly, the data actually showed a 17.3% decrease in excess deaths for people who were 30 to 59 years in age, from 2021 to 2022. Does this mean the COVID-19 vaccines are protecting 30 to 59 year-old adults from death???
Of course, not. Just as it is silly to jump to such a conclusion based on nothing more than two numbers, it is similarly silly for anyone to conclude that the 2020-2023 increase in excess deaths in Germany were caused by the COVID-19 vaccine.
These excess deaths could have been caused by COVID-19 infections in 2020 and 2021, and other causes in 2022. In fact, the ifo Institute suggested that the summer heat waves and flu waves might account for these excess deaths.
The exact reasons for this are still unclear. The heat waves in the summer and the flu waves at the end of the year probably also played a role.
Fact #4 : Correlation Does Not Imply Causation
What appears clear is that the data does not show any strong correlation between excess deaths and COVID-19 vaccinations. After all – the surge in excess deaths began in 2020 – at least a year before widespread COVID-19 vaccinations occurred in Germany.
But even if there appears to be some kind of correlation between widespread COVID-19 vaccination by end of 2022 and higher excess deaths the same year, that does not mean the vaccines caused those deaths.
For example, if you get pregnant after getting the COVID-19 vaccine, does it mean that the vaccine made you pregnant? Of course, not. It’s the same silly argument being made with the excess deaths in Germany.
How can anyone establish any “causal relationship” between those excess deaths and the vaccine, when all this study has done is just analyse excess health statistics without knowing anything about the person’s vaccination status, prior health condition, or even cause of death???
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Fact #5 : COVID-19 Vaccines Were Proven Safe + Effective
After over 3 years of post-marketing monitoring, and extensive safety and efficacy tests involving tens of thousands of volunteers, it is indisputable that the COVID-19 vaccines have proven to be largely safe and effective in preventing death and hospitalisation from SARS-CoV-2 virus infections.
In fact, widespread vaccination against COVID-19 is arguably the only reason why the world is able reopen completely, without COVID-19 patients overwhelming hospitals and ICUs as they did during the pandemic.
The reason why doctors and health authorities continue to STRONGLY advocate vaccination is because the vaccines have been PROVEN to protect the vast majority of people from getting COVID-19 in the first place. And even if you do get infected after vaccination, the vaccine will protect you against hospitalisation and death from COVID-19.
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Dr. Adrian Wong has been writing about tech and science since 1997, even publishing a book with Prentice Hall called Breaking Through The BIOS Barrier (ISBN 978-0131455368) while in medical school.
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